La Jolla Visibility: November 12 Morning Report

November 12 morning refresh

Source cutoff: November 12, 7:08am Pacific forecast; 6:54:41am Pacific Scripps capture. The first edition below was written against November 11 files. Its statements that no Thursday forecast or image was available are superseded.

For November 12, Dive Pro's beta model estimates 10-14ft visibility, grade C. This is not a diver observation or a measured visibility report. The experimental grade does not establish entry safety or underwater clarity at a particular site.

A genuinely new Scripps Pier image is now live. It shows the pier camera's view, not a coastwide visibility measurement. Open the La Jolla forecast and camera for the current issuance and capture labels; this note preserves the cutoff above.

At the 7:08am issuance, predicted tidal height was rising toward the 9:31am high. The November 12 NWS surf-zone forecast lists a 5:15pm low and high rip-current risk for San Diego County, with 3-5ft surf and sets to 6ft. These are county-scale guidance and tidal-height predictions, not a site-specific entry or slack-water verdict. Tidal height alone does not establish underwater current or visibility.

Check the latest local surf forecast, the actual entry and exit, county water-quality advisories and your own limits. A model's early window or clearer-looking water is not a reason on its own to go in.

Sources: published model output (cutoff above; this endpoint updates), NWS San Diego surf-zone forecast (November 12, 1:14am Pacific issue; endpoint updates). No camera grade is claimed.

Original first edition, superseded

Historical context only. This edition used the November 11, 1pm forecast and November 11 noon-slot image. Its "today," "newest" and early-entry language below is not current advice. Use the dated refresh above and live local checks instead.

Thursday morning at the Cove, and the newest number is still Wednesday's.

La Jolla visibility today is a C. The beta model has C grade, 10 to 14 feet, medium confidence. That run is stamped Wednesday, Nov 11, at 1:00 p.m. Pacific. No Thursday run is published yet. C is the middle letter and a dozen feet is the middle of the range. Medium confidence means it can miss.

The odds are spread out. About 48 percent on the C. About 36 percent on a B. About 16 percent on a D. Zero on an A or an F. Those are the model's own odds, so think of it as mid with a shot at better, not a lock.

Surf in the file is 3.7 feet. The main swell is 2.9 feet out of the west at 9 seconds, with 1.8 feet of south-southwest swell at 11.7 seconds underneath. Period is the seconds between waves. The model says that is enough surf to stir up the shallows, but the overall swell load is modest.

Wind is light. It runs about 3 to 4 mph through the morning and creeps up to around 7 mph by mid afternoon, gusts topping out near 11 mph. The model likes the early window before the wind builds.

The file's tide numbers are Wednesday's: high at 11:15 p.m. after a low near 4:30 p.m. It has no Thursday tide times, so check a tide table for your own window.

The NDBC buoy, station 46254, reads 75.9 degrees at the surface. The model's own water estimate is 74.8. Rain is zero today and zero over the past week.

The newest Scripps Pier snapshot is Wednesday's noon slot, captured at 12:14 p.m. The camera grader did not run on it, so there is no camera grade. Thursday's frames are not in yet.

The forecast file does not include a county water advisory list. If the Cove was the plan, check the county map before you kit up.

Go early and plan on about a dozen feet. Full numbers are on the La Jolla forecast page.

Our vis model is in beta and still being validated, so treat the grade as odds, not a promise.