La Jolla Visibility Today: C Grade, Surf Stepped Up

Monday at the Cove, the water is still high on the rocks and already headed down.

La Jolla visibility today is a mid C. Our beta model has Monday at C grade, 10 to 14 feet, medium confidence. The run is from 9:23 a.m. Pacific. C is the middle letter. Ten to fourteen feet means you can dive it. A dozen feet sits in the middle of that range. Medium confidence means that guess can miss.

Surf sits around 3.8 feet, up from Sunday's 3.4. The main swell is about 3.2 feet out of the west-northwest at about 10.9 seconds. Under it is a 1.7 foot west-northwest swell at 13.8 seconds. Period is the seconds between waves. The model flags that surf as enough to stir the shallows. It also calls the longer period a plus, easier to time than short chop.

The odds are wide. About 45 percent on the C. About 27 percent on a B. About 15 percent on a D. About 13 percent on an F. Those numbers are the model's own odds. A miss can go up or down.

Tide range is about 6.5 feet. Range is the drop from high water to low water. High sits near 6 feet around 8:07 a.m. Low is around 3:18 p.m., about minus 0.46 feet. The next high is about 3.7 feet at 9:41 p.m. The model counts the rise into that high as a plus, because incoming water can bring cleaner water in from offshore. It is after dark. The published window is early to late morning, before the wind builds.

Wind averages about 6 mph. It is about 3 mph at 9 a.m. and about 4.4 at 11. It reaches about 10 mph around 3 p.m., with gusts near 12. That afternoon breeze can texture the surface.

The NDBC buoy is reading 75 degrees. One buoy reading is not a full-column thermometer. Rain in the file is zero today and over the last week.

NWS has a Beach Hazards Statement through 10 p.m. Tuesday, with 3 to 7 foot surf, rip currents, and tides near 7.5 feet. A Coastal Flood Advisory runs until noon Tuesday. The tide times above are the La Jolla gauge in the forecast file.

County advisories are still up at La Jolla Cove, Children's Pool, and Marine Street. The Shores and Vallecitos area is open. If the Cove was the plan, check the county map and think about a Shores entry.

The newest Scripps Pier snapshot is Sunday, Nov 8, the 2 p.m. slot, captured around 2:57 p.m. Monday's frames are not in yet. The grader failed, so there is no camera grade.

Go early. Keep the expectation around a dozen feet. Full numbers are on the La Jolla forecast page.

Our vis model is in beta and still being validated, so treat the grade as odds, not a promise.